PelosiTracker
Auditable research, paper tracking, and controlled US executionCONTROLLED POLYMARKET US EXECUTION
Loading thresholds…
Monitored events
Best current bets
Positive research edges across monitored games. Each row shows whether an exact Polymarket US contract is qualified, queued, open, or research-only. Tap one to jump to the Live Radar.
Paste Polymarket link
Live Polymarket games
Loading Odds API status…
Polymarket US research & execution
The established engine remains unchanged. A separate, auditable execution policy maps its signals to exact US/mobile contracts and enforces your bankroll limits.
DeploymentLoading…
API keyLoading…
TradingLoading…
Safety boundary: live entries and live cash-outs are disarmed after every restart and when the selected 30-minute to 4-hour latch expires. Dry-run is the default. Orders are bounded fill-or-kill limits, every live order is previewed, and the emergency stop touches only orders created here.
Set up trading
Pick simulated or real money, connect an account, set your allocation and a risk style.
Start setup
Get started with trading
Collects the minimum needed to run: a mode, an account key for live orders, an allocation ceiling, and a risk style. Everything set here can be changed afterwards in the Policy view, and nothing is saved until the final step.
Live mode selected: saving a live policy does not by itself send an order. Live entries stay disarmed until you tick the approval box and start the timer on the auto trader view, and they disarm again on every server restart.
Account connection
Dry run does not need a key. You can connect one now anyway.
Saving writes this to the selected lane through the same validated endpoint the Policy view uses. Per-position stops, exposure ceilings, the cash reserve, price and liquidity limits, and the selected engine gates all still apply and cannot be bypassed from here.
Trading performance
Running execution results for positions managed by this execution service. W–L–P counts closed trades by realized profit, loss, or push; open trades affect marked net but do not enter the record until they close.
No managed trade results yet.
Total net = realized net + current executable cash-out value minus entry cost on priced open positions. The tally buttons start a new display session only — for reading one night's dry-run profit on its own — and never delete positions, journal evidence, the datasheet, or daily-loss safeguards.
Result charts
Drawn from the same retained closed trades as the datasheet, using each trade's recorded entry settings. Closed trades only — open positions carry no realized net yet. A short run of trades is weak evidence regardless of how the line slopes.
Charts draw once retained trade rows have loaded.
Account connection
Use a server environment key, or paste a key from your phone for this server process only. Runtime credentials are verified before use and this application never writes them to browser storage, a database, the journal, or Git.
Use a key for this server session
Changing or forgetting a key immediately stops automation and closes the live arm. A runtime key disappears on server restart. Open live managed positions block account switching so they cannot be detached from their account.
No account request has been made. Public US market data below does not require a key.
Trade performance datasheet
Every retained managed trade, its execution result, line type, entry-time signal, and immutable settings snapshot. A win means positive realized after-cost P/L; it is not a claim about the final game result.
Open this tab or refresh to load the retained trade ledger.
Settings producing the filtered results
Groups use the exact policy snapshot recorded at entry. Read win rate beside sample size, net, and after-cost ROI; small groups are weak evidence.
| Opened | Mode | Result | Event / selection | Line | Buy | Stake | Net | Edge | Quality | Settings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trade data loaded. | ||||||||||
Reactive settings advisor
Compares realized after-cost managed trades across whole events, estimates how many logged opportunities would clear alternative execution filters, and reports the fitted sport model's shadow readiness. It does not alter probability, edge, signal quality, calibration, or engine gates.
Reactive, not automatic: changing the goal or requested frequency generates a new auditable comparison. All-data mode pools live and simulated outcomes for candidate discovery but cannot one-click validate a live policy. A recommendation changes nothing until you explicitly preview or apply it.
Run an analysis to compare the current policy with available trade and model evidence.
No recommendation has been generated in this page session.
Exports the complete scope, diagnostics, candidate frontier, and validation evidence for independent review.
Automatic trade controls
These are execution limits around the existing model—not new probability, edge, quality, or calibration formulas.
Loading execution policy…
Tap a lane to edit it. Dry-run and live automation are independent and can run together.
Dry-run quick control
Start or stop the selected lane without changing its other saved settings.
Switch to the live lane to arm or disarm real orders. Dry-run automation can run without arming.
Recommended rollout: start with strict mode or the core-gates preset and run dry-run until the journal shows exact event/line mappings and exits you agree with. Selective mode changes only which existing engine gate results this execution sidecar requires; it never changes their calculations. Live mode still requires positive source edge and every authenticated US execution safeguard.
Execution policy
Six steps: lane & capital, authorization, bankroll, exit behaviour, advanced gates, review.
Edit execution policy
Execution policy setup
These are execution limits around the existing model—not new probability, edge, quality, or calibration formulas. Each step saves to the lane selected in the auto trader.
Dry-run lane
Loading capital…
Loading…
Managed positions
Managed trades show exact entry quantity and cost. The authenticated account snapshot below also shows phone/manual positions read-only; those are never adopted for automatic trading.
Sync to load the authoritative account portfolio.
No managed positions.
Execution journal
A running window into candidates, gate rejections, mapping decisions, previews, fills, marks, and cash-outs. Rejections include the observed value and configured threshold so you can see exactly which check failed.
Loading…
No automation decisions yet.
Sport Model Lab
Local research only. It records the existing engine output beside sport-specific live state and price movement, then labels observations after the final. The MLB candidate is state-aware, not a momentum score. It never changes a production probability, activates a model, or authorizes a trade.
No silent learning: fitting creates a versioned comparison candidate with a chronological event-block test. Promotion remains a separate reviewed process and is not available from this screen.
Synchronize local and hosted research evidence
This transfer works in both directions. To create the central hosted dataset, export once from the workstation and merge it on the website. Dry runs started later from a phone are then retained in the hosted dry-run lane. To bring those newer hosted sessions back to this computer, export from the website and merge the archive locally.
- Export hereDownloads closed trades, entry settings, audit evidence, adaptive labels, and Model Lab rows from both lanes.
- Open the other installationWebsite for local-to-hosted; workstation for hosted-to-local.
- Merge onceChecksums and source-lane IDs make repeat imports safe. Live and dry-run evidence stay separate.
Loading sport readiness and observations...
Collected segments
No observations yet.
Manual candidate fit
No candidate has been fitted in this session.
Recent live-state observations
Waiting for moneyline observations.
US/mobile sports inventory
Raw Polymarket US long-side bid/ask and listed outcomes. The execution layer may map established signals to these contracts; it never feeds these prices back into or changes the calculation engine.
Create Custom Bot
Bot Decision Ticker
Waiting for bot decisions...Strategy Calibration · Dummy Accounts
Fake money only. Open equity uses executable net bid value; an unavailable full-depth mark is shown as unpriced instead of estimated at cost.